A factor model for loss-making companies
I combined fundamental, technical, and alternative signals in a risk-neutralized factor model using an ensemble of XGBoost and Elastic Net. I analyzed what drove factor performance and used an event study to measure how markets reacted to corporate turnarounds.
Intangible assets as a risk factor
R&D and SG&A are expensed, so book value, and with it book-to-price, misses intangible capital, most of all in tech and health care. We capitalized both into an intangible-intensity measure and tested it as an added style factor in the QES risk model.
- Low correlation with existing style factors; negative with value (earnings and dividend yield).
- Explained more cross-sectional return dispersion than profitability, analyst revisions or growth; in growth portfolios it carried more risk than the growth factor.
- Adding intangibles back to book equity lifted the book-to-price factor's backtested alpha from 3.6% to 6.2%.
Financial NLP for earnings calls and filings
I built an NLP system that analyzed earnings-call transcripts and audio, 10-K and 10-Q filings, and news. I used transformer models including RoBERTa, Llama, and GPT, alongside knowledge graphs, to score sentiment, model topics, and recognize entities.
Equity exposures to macro shocks
I built cross-sectional exposure screens and scenario analyses to show which equities and portfolios were sensitive to shocks involving interest rates, oil, geopolitics, or technology.
Dashboards for backtesting and stock screening
I led the design of dashboards for researchers to run backtests, screen stocks dynamically, and evaluate trading strategies.